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Futures side, the most-traded contract 2510 was in the doldrums. At 10:30 a.m., SS2510 was quoted at 12,895 yuan/mt, down 35 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Wuxi spot 304/2B premiums/discounts ranged from 325-625 yuan/mt. In the spot market, Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil averaged 8,100 yuan/mt; cold-rolled mill-edge 304/2B coil averaged 13,200 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 13,200 yuan/mt in Foshan; cold-rolled 316L/2B coil was 25,825 yuan/mt in Wuxi and 25,825 yuan/mt in Foshan; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil was 25,300 yuan/mt in both locations; cold-rolled 430/2B coil was 7,550 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan.
The market officially entered the September-October peak season, a traditional consumption peak. The stainless steel industry widely expects prices to trend upward this month. Although current transactions remain significantly constrained by futures fluctuations, overall demand has strengthened notably compared to earlier periods. Stainless steel social inventory fell for the ninth consecutive week, with inventory levels pulling back to February levels. Additionally, cost side, rising prices for high-carbon ferrochrome and high-grade NPI further pushed up stainless steel production costs. However, driven by optimistic expectations, September stainless steel planned production is expected to increase further, putting considerable pressure on downstream end-users’ digestion capacity. Meanwhile, the market remains heavily influenced by macro policies and futures, with uncertainty still high. The subsequent trend will depend on the pace of demand recovery and the actual realization of macro tailwinds.
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